Prediction Market Math
[SYSTEM WORKBENCH // QUANTITATIVE SUITE]

Analysis Tools

Interactive mathematical calculators, probability distribution models, and algorithmic verification tools.

PROBABILITY ENGINE OPERATIONAL

Market-to-Probability Converter

Convert contract prices (1¢ – 99¢) into implied probabilities, fair decimal/American odds, and expected value (EV).

ENGINE: Binary Odds & Discrete EV Matrix
HEDGING TERMINAL OPERATIONAL

Cross-Market Arbitrage Scanner

Scan binary pricing dislocations across prediction exchanges to lock in synthetic risk-free spreads and fee-adjusted returns.

ENGINE: Dual-Leg Synthetic Spread Scanner
CAPITAL PRESERVATION OPERATIONAL

Binary Kelly Calculator

Calculate mathematically optimal position sizes for prediction markets using Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly allocations.

ENGINE: Geometric Compound Growth & Ruin Sizing
QUANT AUDITING OPERATIONAL

Brier Score Calibration Tool

Evaluate probabilistic forecast accuracy, calibration reliability curves, and resolution variance against superforecaster standards.

ENGINE: Quadratic Probability Loss & Calibration Bins
[SECURITY PROTOCOL // 100% CLIENT-SIDE COMPUTATION]

Zero-Knowledge Verification Architecture

All mathematical calculations, hashing functions, and probability models hosted on predictionmarketmath.org execute exclusively in your local browser sandbox using native JavaScript and the W3C Web Cryptography API. No seeds, parameters, or session data are ever transmitted to third-party servers.